EU Mortgage Markets Suarez 1992-2003
>>>>WorkingPaper
WPNo562June,2004
>>>>EUROPEANMORTGAGEMARKET:>>>>ANOVERVIEW1992-2003
JoséLuisSuárez*AmparoVassallo**
*ProfessorofFinancialManagement,IESE**ResearchAssistant,IESE
IESEBusinessSchool-UniversidaddeNavarra
>>>>>Avda.Pearson,21-08034Barcelona.Tel.:(+34932534200Fax:(+34932534343
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Electroniccopyavailableat:http://ssrn.com/abstract=673249
EUROPEANMORTGAGEMARKET:ANOVERVIEW1992-2003
Abstract:
ThedevelopmentoftheEuropeanmortgagemarket,itscurrentsituationintermsof
volume,growth,prices,interestratesandnewproducts,andananalysisofmortgageintegrationarethefocusofthispaper.
TherecentcreationoftheEuropeanMortgageFinanceAgency(EMFA,asan
attempttobuildasingleEuropeansecuritizationmarket,isanimportantsteptowardintegrationwithinthewidergoalofEUfinancialintegration.Obstaclestointegration,potentialmembersoftheEMFA,anditsmaingoalsandadvantagesarediscussedintheforward-lookingsectionofthispaper.
Inaddition,thepaperdealswiththreeimportantaspectsoftheEUmortgagemarket,
takenasawhole:
–
Howitoperates.Otheraspectsconsideredincludetransactioncosts,transparencyrequirementsaffectingcreditinstitutions(EuropeanCodeofConduct,andaclassificationofmortgageproductsonthemarket.
RefinancinginEurope(ascomparedtotheUSA.Thesecondarymarketforthefundingoffinancialinstitutions,inrelationtomortgagebondsandmortgage-backedsecurities,includingexplanationsoftheirmaincharacteristicsandthedifferencesbetweenthem.
HowEuropeanmortgagemarketsinfluencetheeconomyandhowtheymayaffectprivateinvestmentandconsumption,householddebt(whichcontinuestoincreaseeachyear,andtheperformanceoffinancialinstitutions(highcompetitiveness.
–
–
Keywords:Europeanmortgagemarketintegration;Europeanmortgagemarket;Mortgageloansoutstanding;MortgagesasapercentageofGDP;Growth;Interestrateapplied;Transactioncosts
Electroniccopyavailableat:http://ssrn.com/abstract=673249
EUROPEANMORTGAGEMARKET:ANOVERVIEW1992-2003*
1.Introduction
Inmanyways,themaincharacteristicofEuropeanmortgagemarketsnowadaysis
theirdiversityinregulation,producttypes,andlenders.Althoughtheyhavepointsincommon,eachcountryworksdifferently,whichmakesitdifficulttointegratetheirmarkets.Theperformanceofthesemarketsoverthelasttenyearshasbeenpositive,despite
therecenteconomicweaknessinsomeEuropeancountries.AccordingtodataprovidedbytheEuropeanMortgageFederation,mortgagecreditoutstandingincreasedfrom1.86trillioneurosin1992to4.49trillionin2002(thisincludesoutstandingresidentialandcommercialmortgages.Theincreaseisduetothetrendinprices,especiallyhouseprices,whichhaveriseninallEuropeancountriesexceptGermany;thelargedropininterestrates;andinsomeEuropeancountries,taxadvantagesandtheincreaseindisposableincome.
MortgageloansoutstandinginEuropeasapercentageofGDPwas30%in1992,
risingto40%in2002,whichindicatesthatmortgagecreditisbecomingmoreimportantinEuropeaneconomies.Atthesametime,thepercentageofmortgagesinrelationtototalloans,whichwas31%in1992,increasedto36%in2002,againreflectingthegrowingimportanceofthemortgagemarketinthefinancialsystem.
Asaresultofthesedevelopments,creditinstitutionshavebeentryingtocreate
innovativenewproductstogainmarketshare.Theseincludeflexiblemortgages,self-certifiedproducts,andinterest-onlymortgages.
Thegrowthofthemortgagemarketalsocontributedtotheriseinhouseholddebtin
Europe,whichincreasedby20%overtheperiod1991-2001.Theloansgrantedtohouseholdsbycreditinstitutionswereused:60%forhome-buying;16%forconsumption;and20%forotherpurposes.
Despitethisimportantdevelopment,cross-borderlendingbetweenEuropean
countriesisstillverylow,whichisoneofthereasonswhytheEuropeanCommissionhasemphasizedtheimportanceoftheintegrationofEuropeanmortgagemarkets.Twoimportantstepswere:theAgreementonaEuropeanCodeOfConduct,drawnupbytheEuropeanCreditSectorAssociations,ledbytheEuropeanMortgageFederation,andEuropean>>>>>>>>>consumerorganizations,andnegotiatedandsignedonMarch5,2001underthe
*
Papersubmittedtothe11thEuropeanRealEstateSocietyConference,heldinMilan,Italy,onJune2-5,2004.
2
aegisoftheEuropeanCommission;andthestudycommissionedbytheEuropeanMortgageFederationandpreparedbyMercerOliverWyman,entitled“StudyontheFinancialIntegrationofEuropeanMortgageMarkets.”Thecodeofconductwillpermitthestandardizationofconsumerinformation,makingthemarketmoretransparentfortheconsumerandboostingEurope-widecompetition.TheMercerOliverWymanstudyidentifiesbarrierstomortgageintegrationandexploressolutionstoachievethebenefitsofintegration.Thebenefitsforborrowersmightincludegreaterchoiceandcheapermortgages,and
forlenders,lowerfundingandriskmanagementcosts.
Finally,fundingofmortgagelendinginstitutionsinEuropeissustainedbyretail
deposits,mortgagebonds,saving,andmortgage-backedsecurities.AccordingtotheratingagencyMoody’s,amortgagebondisa“fullrecoursedebtinstrumentsecuredbyapoolofspecifically-identified,eligiblemortgageassetsorclaimsagainstpublicsectorentities.”Whenamortgagelenderissuesmortgagebonds,itkeepsboththebondsandtheloansonitsbalancesheet,thatistosay,mortgagebondsarean“on-balance-sheetinstrument.”
Currently,mortgagebondsarethesecondmostimportantfundingsourcefor
mortgagemarketsinEurope.AmongthecountriesthathaveastrongpresenceinthemortgagebondmarketareGermany,Denmark,SwedenandFrance.
Anotherlessimportantbutactivefundingsourceismortgage-backedsecurities,
whichoriginatedintheUnitedStates.Whenacreditinstitutionissuesmortgage-backedsecurities,itisolatesthereceivablesandtheirassociatedcashflowsfromitsotherassetsbysellingthemtoaSpecialPurposeVehicle,whichthenissuesthesecurities.Amongthemoreactivecountriesinthemortgage-backedsecuritiesmarketaretheUnitedKingdom,Spain,France,IrelandandItaly.Inthelastfewyears,therehasbeenfastergrowthinUK,SpainandtheNetherlands.
Inthiscontext,fivebanksfromSpain,UK,Ireland,PortugalandFrancehave
createdtheEMFA(EuropeanMortgageFinanceAgency,whichworkstowardthecreationofasinglepan-Europeansecuritizationmarket,financedbyprivatecapital,verysimilartotheAmericanFannyMaeorFreddieMac.Givenorganizationsofthiskind,mortgagelenderswouldbeabletoobtainnewfundsandfinanceonbetterterms.
2.SizeoftheEuropeanMortgageMarket
ThemainfeatureofthemortgagemarketinEuropeisitsfragmentation.Ineach
country,thereisagreatvarietyofproducts,pricesandcustomers,aswellasdifferencesinthetypesofcontractsavailableandtheinstitutionsoperatinginthemarket.“Thedifferencesincontractsandinstitutionsaretheresultofhistoricaldifferencesindemographyandpoliticalandregulatoryframeworks,aswellasinconsumerpreferences.Thetypesoflendersineachcountryareverydifferent,asalsoarethetypesofproductsoffered,particularlywithrespecttotheratiooftheamountoftheloantothevalueoftheproperty(whatisknownastheLTVorLoantoValueratio,thedurationoftheloan,andtheadjustmentoftheinterestrateoverthelifeoftheloan.Ineachcountry,mortgageloansmayincludefinancialandnon-financialservices.Theseareadditionalservicesrelatedtothemortgage,suchasassociatedinsuranceproducts.Ineachtypeofloan,rightsandobligationsvary.”>>>>1
>>>>>1
“Elcrecimientodelmercadohipotecarioeuropeo,”‘laCaixa’ResearchDepartment.
3
Overall,inthelastdecade,thebalanceofmortgageloansoutstandinghasincreased
inallEuropeancountries.Thisisduebasicallytothefactthatinmostcountriestherehasbeenagrowingtendencyforpeopletobuytheirownhomes.Whilemortgageloansmaybegrantedforpurposesotherthanhousepurchase,accordingtodatapublishedbytheEuropeanMortgageFederation(EMF,in2002around80%ofmortgageloanswereresidential.Thistrendhasbeenencouragedbyfiscalpoliciesthatfavorhomebuyingoverhomerental,asforexampleincountriessuchasHollandandPortugal,andbyenhancedincomeexpectationsduetolowerinterestrates,whichreducesthecostofborrowingandboostsconsumerconfidence2.AnotherimportantfactorbehindtheriseinmortgageloansoutstandingisthegeneralriseinhousepricesinmanyEuropeancountries.
Eachyear,theproportionofmortgagesinrelationtototalbanklendinghas
increased.From31%in1992,itroseto36%in2002.TheincreasehasbeenparticularlynotableinSpain(15.62%,Holland(12.26%andGreece(10.26%.Thishasledtofiercercompetitionamongfinancialinstitutionstomaintainorexpandtheirmarketshare.Toachievethatgoal,theyhavecontinuedtocreatenewproducts,suchasmortgageloansthatcanbeusedasconsumerloans,loanslinkedtopensionfunds,orflexiblemortgagesthatcanbeadaptedtouncertainincomeflows3.
ThegrowthoftheEuropeanmortgagemarketisclearifweconsiderthatmortgage
loansoutstandingincreasedfrom30%ofGDPin1990to40%in2001.ThegrowingimportanceofmortgagecreditisoneofthereasonswhyeffortsarebeingmadetolaythefoundationsforEuropeanintegration,whichitishopedwillfurtherstimulatemarketdevelopment.
Despitethefactthatmortgageloansoutstandinghasincreasedyearafteryearand
themarketsareexpandingasnewproductsareintroduced,theindividualcountrymarketsarequiteseparateandunrelatedtooneanother.“In2001,cross-borderloansaccountedfor1%ofthetotal,mostofthemloansoriginatedinGermany,whichissufferingfromwhatisknownas‘overcapitalization,’forcingbankstolookabroad.InNorway,cross-bordermortgagelendinghasalsoincreasedslightly.InSpain,IrelandandFrance,therehavebeenhardlyanyloansofthistype,andinItalynoneatall.Themainreasonfortheunderdevelopmentofcross-borderlendingistheexistenceofmultiplebarriers,suchasdifferentlegislationgoverninglandregistration,foreclosureandinsolvency.ThatiswhytheEuropeanCommission,withintheframeworkoftheFinancialServicesActionPlan,hassetitselfthegoalofachievinggreaterintegrationofthemortgagelendingsectoraspartofthedrivetowardsasinglemarketforretailfinancialservices.”4
Asfarasthelendersareconcerned,accordingtodatapublishedbytheEuropean
MortgageFederation5,insomecountries,suchasItalyandPortugal,themortgagemarketisdominatedbyuniversalbanks,andinothersbycommercialbanks,notablyBelgium(wheretheyaccountfor95%ofgrossresidentialloans,Greece(80%,Ireland(79%andFinland(46%.Universalbanksprovidebankingservices,properlyspeaking,andtendtobeinvolvedinenterprisepromotion,oftenholdinganequityinterestincompanies.Commercialbanks,ontheotherhand,arespecializedbanks,alongwithmerchantandindustrialbanks;theyobtaintheirfundsfromsightdepositsandtheirlendingactivityconsistsofshort-termloansandthe>>>>discountingofreceivables.
>>>>>2345
“Elcrecimientodelmercadohipotecarioeuropeo,”‘laCaixa’ResearchDepartment.Ibid.Ibid.Ibid.